APPLICATION OF RECURRENT NEURAL NETWORKS IN FRUIT PRICE PREDICTION IN THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR OF BAHIA

Authors

  • Iara Fábia Castro Viana Silva Author
  • Caio Henrique Rodrigues Carvalho Author
  • Tiago do Carmo Nogueira Author
  • Danyele de Oliveira Santana Author
  • Gelson da Cruz Junior Author
  • Cássio Dener Noronha Vinhal Author
  • Matheus Rudolfo Diedrich Ullmann Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.56238/arev7n1-073

Keywords:

Agriculture, Time Series, Price Forecasting, Recurrent Neural Networks

Abstract

This study investigates Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), specifically LSTM and GRU, in the price forecasting of fruits grown by family farmers in Bahia, based on 1,883 records of banana nana, banana prata, and papaya formosa. The LSTM model presented the best performance, with RMSE results ranging from 0.186 to 0.606, MAE from 0.142 to 0.483, MAPE from 7.286 to 16.624, and MSE from 0.035 to 0.367 for the fruits analyzed. The potential of RNNs in supporting decision-making in the agricultural sector is highlighted, with proposals for future work that include incorporating exogenous variables and the development of a free platform for small producers.

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Published

2025-01-06

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

SILVA, Iara Fábia Castro Viana; CARVALHO, Caio Henrique Rodrigues; NOGUEIRA, Tiago do Carmo; SANTANA, Danyele de Oliveira; DA CRUZ JUNIOR, Gelson; VINHAL, Cássio Dener Noronha; ULLMANN, Matheus Rudolfo Diedrich. APPLICATION OF RECURRENT NEURAL NETWORKS IN FRUIT PRICE PREDICTION IN THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR OF BAHIA. ARACÊ , [S. l.], v. 7, n. 1, p. 1197–1220, 2025. DOI: 10.56238/arev7n1-073. Disponível em: https://periodicos.newsciencepubl.com/arace/article/view/2741. Acesso em: 5 dec. 2025.